Stacy Fernández / News21

No clear solutions as weather keeps plunging U.S. into darkness

LANSING, Mich. – With disasters striking faster than utility companies and power grid managers can handle, millions are being left in the dark.

When the power unexpectedly goes out in the U.S., seven out of 10 times, it’s because of weather.

More than 32,000 power outages occurred in the U.S. from February 2008 through December 2017, affecting more than 215 million people, according to Eaton, a power management company that tracked blackouts until 2018.

The No. 1 cause of outages were attributed to “weather and/or falling trees,” with 10,667 outages making up nearly 33% of the total. Although not all weather events are natural disasters, most natural disasters are considered weather events.

But the percentage of customers affected by those weather outages was nearly 72%. This means more than 154 million customers lost power in weather events, including Superstorm Sandy in the Northeast, Hurricane Ike in Houston and the Tubbs Fire in Northern California, to name a few.

Since Eaton stopped recording U.S. blackouts 18 months ago, experts say there's no organization publicly tracking power outages on a national level.

Romney Duffey, a nuclear scientist and power restoration researcher in Idaho, has conducted research on safety and risk measures after the nuclear disasters in Fukushima, Japan, and Chernobyl, Ukraine.

Duffey’s recent research on power restoration trends after disasters is the first of its kind to use real-time data. The research, published in 2018, revealed once access and disruption gets bad enough after a disaster, the time it takes to get power back is the same.

“The restoration trends are identical for major wildfires and most severe hurricanes despite their totally disparate origins,” Duffey wrote in his study’s conclusion.

Even though restoring power after a disaster has been an issue since the first light bulb flickered on 140 years ago, federal energy standards have been around for fewer than 15 years.

The Energy Policy Act (EPAct), passed in 2005, was one of the country’s first attempts at regulating energy. Some of the goals of the bill were to foster a competitive power market, strengthen regulations and encourage the development of new energy management equipment for the grid.

But it doesn’t always work.

In June 2018, Puerto Rico agreed to sell and privatize the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority. Although the breakup of its monopoly was intended to modernize the island's rickety power grid, Puerto Ricans worry it will raise the cost of electricity for consumers. (Ellen O'Brien/News21)

In June 2018, Puerto Rico agreed to sell and privatize the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority. Although the breakup of its monopoly was intended to modernize the island's rickety power grid, Puerto Ricans worry it will raise the cost of electricity for consumers. (Ellen O'Brien/News21)

Life without light

The longest blackout in U.S. history began in 2017 when Hurricane María made landfall in Puerto Rico as a strong Category 4 storm. Recovery efforts were arduous, and some work continues nearly two years later.

In Orocovis, a rural community in central Puerto Rico, Luis Rosado focused on keeping the insulin cold. He and his 11-year-old daughter are diabetic and require daily insulin doses.

“We had lost everything. We didn’t have an electric generator where we could keep (the insulin) cold,” Rosado said. “We had to, every day, wake up in the middle of the night and try to look for a place where we could find ice.”

Several months after Maria, Rosado’s family received a generator through Unidos por Puerto Rico, a nonprofit organization started by former First Lady Beatriz Rosselló.

Electrical power can mean life or death for Luis Rosado and his daughter, Gerialis, who require insulin for Type 1 diabetes. “There were moments when we didn’t know if (the insulin) was harming us because we weren’t able to keep it cold.” (Ellen O'Brien/News21)

It took the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, known by the acronym PREPA, 11 months to restore power across the island, which is a U.S. territory. At its peak, all 3.4 million people on the island were without power. The next-longest outage was caused by the fast-moving Hurricane Ike in 2008, which knocked out power for 2.6 million people in Texas and Louisiana for up to three weeks.

“The main problem after Hurricane Maria was ... we had no communication whatsoever,” said Daniel Hernández, PREPA’s director of generation. That lack of communication made it more difficult for field crews to gauge the damage and respond to it, he said.

Hernández confirmed about 80% of the island’s grid network “was on the ground” after the storm.

The Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, known by the acronym PREPA, took 11 months to restore power across the island – making it the longest blackout in U.S. history. At its peak, all 3.4 million Americans on the island were in the dark. (Ellen O'Brien/News21)

As many residents waited in the dark, PREPA auxiliary operator Jorge Bracero began filling the communication void. Bracero started sharing information on his Facebook page, including estimated power-restoration time frames for specific neighborhoods, as well as basic facts about how the electric grid works.

According to Bracero, these posts “completely blew up,” pushing him to create a professional page, which now has more than 121,000 followers.

He and his pregnant wife moved eight times over the next six months, staying with friends and family members who had power.

“Everybody in Puerto Rico that was here during the storms can say that they have a before and an after feeling of how to approach life,” Bracero said. “What we experienced was extremely horrible. And it made us into something new.”

If it’s not wind, it’s ice

In December 2013, a severe ice storm struck Lansing, Michigan’s capital and knocked out power for more than 50,000 residents for more than a week.

Older adults, people with disabilities, medicine-dependent residents and low-income families were most at risk during the outage, according to the Lansing Board of Water & Light’s Community Review Team.

During the Christmastime blackout, many weren’t just uncomfortable – they were angry.

“They just don't care,” Alice Dreger recalls thinking of the board, the city-owned utility company. After four days of huddling with her family next to the fireplace, a fed-up Dreger organized a protest with her husband.

Alice and Kepler Dreger spent nine freezing days without power after an ice storm struck Lansing, Michigan, in December 2013. Analysis by News21 shows that from 2008 to 2017, Michigan had 20 weather-related outages that lasted three days or longer – more than any other state. (Briana Castañón/News21)

Alice and Kepler Dreger spent nine freezing days without power after an ice storm struck Lansing, Michigan, in December 2013. Analysis by News21 shows that from 2008 to 2017, Michigan had 20 weather-related outages that lasted three days or longer – more than any other state. (Briana Castañón/News21)

“The irony was, after nine days without power, when a crew finally got here, it took 45 minutes to fix,” she recalled.

The ice storm led to investigations into the Board of Water & Light’s mismanagement of the storm and its emergency communications.

If there’s anger in Michigan, it’s because the extended blackouts keep happening.

News21 analyzed reports of electric disturbances collected by the Department of Energy from 2008 to 2017. In that time, Michigan has had 20 weather-related outages that lasted three days or longer – more than any other state.

In July, the Michigan Public Service Commission published a statewide energy assessment that, among many recommendations, requested utilities review customer communication plans.

Better customer communication may not restore power, but it can restore calm, according to Pat Poli, director of the commission’s Energy Operations Division, who said anger always follows ambiguity.

“Information sharing is pretty critical to customer understanding and acceptance,” Poli said.

In 2018, the public service commission founded the Low Income Workgroup to identify energy issues important to low-income residents, such as health and safety, weather-proofing and energy efficiency.

Brad Banks, an energy efficiency analyst with the commission who’s the point person for the Low Income Workgroup, hopes it will keep an avalanche of problems from falling on these families. Without power for air circulation, mold can grow, which can impact low-income families for a long time, he said.

“If you have a house that has mold ... you’re living in a house that’s making you sick,” Banks said. “The incidents of childhood asthma in these houses is extremely high, which means your kid can’t go to school, which means you can’t go to work.”

According to a 2017 study co-authored by Seth Guikema, the president-elect of the Society for Risk Analysis and a professor at the University of Michigan, vulnerable communities put pressure on utility companies to more quickly fix the power grid.

“If you have a large chunk of people that can afford generators and buy them, then there’s less pressure on regulators to improve the system,” Guikema said.

Linesmen from Consumers Energy work on a power outage caused by a lightning strike in Kalamazoo, Michigan. The Michigan Public Service Commission this summer recommended, among other things, that all public utilities review customer communication plans. (Alex Simon/News21)

Linesmen from Consumers Energy work on a power outage caused by a lightning strike in Kalamazoo, Michigan. The Michigan Public Service Commission this summer recommended, among other things, that all public utilities review customer communication plans. (Alex Simon/News21)

Securing the grid

The electrical grid has become increasingly more complicated, according to Alison Silverstein, an energy consultant who authored one of the investigations that contributed to the creation of the EPAct.

“We are in a time of incredibly fast transition,” Silverstein said, comparing work on the grid to driving a car.

Grid operators “used to be driving at only 30 (to) 60 miles an hour,” she said. “Now we’re driving at 120. … Your ability to recognize conditions, anticipate, analyze and react needs to be infinitely better.”

And the grid may need a better car, considering the number of people using power and the size of the economy relying on the grid.

“There’s so many things changing so quickly, including the character of demand, that the people who operate the grid no longer have the same level of experience and confidence with current conditions,” said Silverstein, a former employee of Pacific Gas & Electric in California and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

When disasters take down the grid, rural communities that don’t generate their own power get hit hardest by outages.

Interstate 79 is the only vein connecting Harrison County, population 68,000, to the rest of West Virginia. When a cluster of severe thunderstorms known as a derecho swept through West Virginia and into the Midwest in 2012, millions of customers throughout the area lost power.

“Usually, once you get past day three, things get more serious and people aren’t as comfortable,” said Laura Pysz, director of emergency management for Harrison County. “They can deal without power for a day or two, but then it’s like ... we need power restored.”

Interstate 79 is the only connection Harrison County, population 68,000, has to the rest of West Virginia. Thousands of West Virginians in the area were left without power after a derecho struck in 2012.  (Briana Castañón/News21)

Interstate 79 is the only connection Harrison County, population 68,000, has to the rest of West Virginia. Thousands of West Virginians in the area were left without power after a derecho struck in 2012. (Briana Castañón/News21)

Laura Pysz, director of Harrison County Emergency Management in West Virginia, called the 2012 derecho “a storm they say that could never have happened.” (Briana Castañón/News21)

A decent amount of the energy in Bridgeport, Harrison County’s second-biggest city, goes through the Harrison Rural Electrification Association.

The association does not generate its own power; it only transports electricity to customers. When the grid goes down, the association relies on a utility company to fix it.

“One of the difficulties during the derecho was that everything was being controlled remotely” by another company, said Terry Stout, CEO of the Harrison Rural Electrification Association. “Every step had to be approved. It’s for safety … but we can be safe and running locally. Our guys know lines more than somebody in another state does.”

Keeping blackouts at bay

More often than not, Stout and the association are untangling tree branches from distribution lines.

“Trees are probably our biggest problem,” he said.

The fire department in Bedford Charter Township, Michigan, faces similar issues in their community. According to Assistant Fire Chief Marty Uldriks, trees grow so tall they act as a “total canopy” for roadways.

“It looks like you're driving through a tunnel,” Uldriks said. “But it just brings more trees down than your typical city streets … we get hit a little bit harder than everybody else.”

Trees and overgrown vegetation are a constant threat to the grid across the country.

Volunteer firefighters clear a downed tree in Bedford Charter Township, Michigan. Of the 32,000 power outages in the U.S. from 2008 through 2017, nearly 33% were attributed to “weather and/or falling trees.” (Briana Castañón/News21)

Overgrown trees in 2003 caused the short-circuiting of a series of power lines in Ohio, starting a domino effect that led to the Northeast Blackout, which affected more than 50 million people across eight states and one Canadian province. It remains the outage with the most customers affected in North American history.

The unprecedented outage led to multiple investigations, which contributed to the passing of the EPAct. One of the main changes was setting mandatory national energy standards.

The EPAct gave the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission the ability to regulate utilities via the North American Electric Reliability Corp. The corporation behaves as the enforcer of the act, penalizing utility companies that don’t abide by the national standards. Before the EPAct, standards set by the corporation were voluntary.

From 2009 through 2015, the North American Electric Reliability Corp. handed down 13 penalties for 15 violations to California’s largest utility company, Pacific Gas & Electric, placing it in the top 35 most penalized utility entities in the country.

Ted Honey, a safety trainer of Pacific Gas & Electric, California's largest utility company, demonstrated the dangers of a downed power line at a PG&E open house in Redding, California. (Anton Delgado/News21)

In 2018, Pacific Gas & Electric transmission lines ignited the deadly Camp Fire in Northern California. After a barrage of lawsuits, the company expanded its Public Safety Power Shutoff Program, which preemptively turns off electricity in wildfire prone areas during high fire threat days.

Preventive management programs have been mandated in Nevada and other wildfire prone states. NV Energy, a utility company with 1.3 million electric customers, announced its identical Public Safety Outage Management program earlier this year.

As the West fights wildfires, the East braces for hurricanes.

After Hurricane Wilma in 2005, Florida Power & Light spent billions “hardening” its grid by replacing downed wooden poles with concrete ones. The utility claims this effort has made a sizeable difference in customer outages.

But Duffey’s analysis of post-disaster power restoration found Florida Power & Light’s hardening efforts have not made a discernible difference to energy restoration.

“This does not suggest responses were inadequate: brave and devoted professionals worked as quickly and efficiently as possible. There is simply an inherent limit on the achievable rate of repair,” Duffey wrote in his 2018 study.

More than 32,000 power outages occurred in the U.S. from February 2008 through December 2017, affecting more than 215 million people, according to the power management company Eaton. (Briana Castañón/News21)

More than 32,000 power outages occurred in the U.S. from February 2008 through December 2017, affecting more than 215 million people, according to the power management company Eaton. (Briana Castañón/News21)

Darkness ahead

Guikema, the risk assessment expert and Michigan professor, has praised the efforts of Florida Power & Light, but his “biggest fear” is that not enough utility companies are being proactive.

“There’s not sufficient investment that will really allow us to adapt to climate change,” Guikema said. “Weather events are going to be different. We don’t know entirely how (because) there’s a lot of uncertainty. (But) we know it’s going to be different. And it’s probably going to be worse.”

What that “worse” looks like is a decision society will have to make, Guikema said.

“Zero risk is not possible, unless you have an infinite amount of money,” Guikema said. “We're always going to have some risks. The question is, as a society, where do we set that level of acceptability? How much risk are we willing to accept of prolonged outages?”

Silverstein, the independent energy and technology consultant, sees risk as inherent to the energy industry.

“There is nothing we can do to protect the grid against everything. The scope of threats get bigger and badder and scarier every year,” she said. “We can do better, but we can’t do perfect. And the cost to customers of not doing perfect is going to be significant.”

News21 reporters Briana Castañón, Priscilla Malavet and Ellen O’Brien contributed to this report.

Briana Castañón is the Dallas Morning News Fellow, Molly Duerig is a Hearst Foundation Fellow, Ellen O’Brien is an Ethics and Excellence in Journalism Foundation Fellow, and Alex Simon is a Donald W. Reynolds Foundation Fellow. Priscilla Malavet is a Knight Foundation Fellow.

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